Russian Central Bank is anticipating a decrease of GDP growth by less than 1% in 2014.
“Right now we think that the realization of our economic growth forecast for 2014, which was made last year, is hardly probable. We had expected the growth to be 1.5-1.8%. Now, in our opinion, the rate of growth deceleration till less than 1% is most probable”, – Elvira Nabiullina, the head of Russian Central Bank, said during the Association of Russian Banks conference.
According to Rosstat estimations, last year GDP of Russian Federation increased by 1.3%. This year Ministry of Economic Development is expecting a GDP slowdown till 1.8% in case of a capital outflow stabilization at the level of $60-70 billion. If the capital outflow is more than $100 billion, GDP growth will hardy be more than 0.6%. Concurrently, the official rate of GDP forecast remains at the level of 2.5%. It will be revised in the beginning of April.