The Southern Hemisphere Association of Fresh Fruit Exporters (SHAFFE) has reviewed the Russian and the Ukrainian fresh fruit import markets and expects increasingly difficult conditions to maintain supply to both markets.
In 2020, Ukraine imported 795 million USD of fresh fruit with over 48% originating from suppliers like Turkey (citrus), Ecuador, and Costa Rica (bananas and pineapples). Total exports of fresh fruit from SHAFFE member countries (*) reached USD$54 million in 2020, representing 7% of the total fruit imports market in Ukraine. The main suppliers to Ukraine from SHAFFE member countries included South Africa, which exported mainly citrus with a value of USD$16 million and which represented 30% of the total value of exports registered by SHAFFE member countries in 2020.
In 2020, exports of fresh fruit from SHAFFE member countries to Russia reached 643.084 tons, which represented 17% of the total fresh produce import market During the same period, the main species of fruits exported by SHAFFE member countries to Russia included apples, pears, and citrus, which together represented 80% of the total exports of SHAFFE member countries to this market. The exports of fresh produce from SHAFFE member countries have been on an upward trend, registering a 29% volume growth, between the period 2017 to 2020. South Africa and Argentina are the main suppliers of fresh produce to Russia and represent 69% of the total volume exported by SHAFFE member countries in 2020.
According to SHAFFE, foreseeable negative impacts could include reduced exports to the Russian and Ukrainian markets and hence the redirection and oversupply of citrus, apples, and pears to other destinations such as the EU, U.S.A., or others. This could lead to an oversupply of those markets with resultant financial losses for exporters. Additionally, the entity foresees that this situation could compound even further the negative impact of the current rise of production and logistical costs facing the Southern Hemisphere exporters and growers. Sanctions by some Western countries against Russian banks as well as SWIFT payments will lead to add to the risks faced by exporters. It is hoped that the situation will be resolved soon.